Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve: Norrie has a slight edge, winning 45.13% of second serve points compared to Alcaraz's 44.77%. Is this a significant factor? It could be, as there's a correlation with match predictions.
• Return Game: Norrie excels in returning second serves, claiming 47.08% of points, while Alcaraz stands at 42.64%. However, Alcaraz has the advantage on first serve returns with 27.75% to Norrie’s 26.68%.
• Under Pressure: Norrie has been more effective in saving break points, with a success rate of 57.87% against Alcaraz’s 53.96%.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Alcaraz has a superior win rate of 85.37%, vastly outperforming Norrie's 57.14%.
• Surface Preference: Norrie shows his best performance on Hard courts (67%), whereas Alcaraz thrives on Grass with a stunning 92% win rate.
• Event Level Play: Alcaraz, playing often at the Masters series level, holds a remarkable 79.17% win rate compared to Norrie’s 56.67% at the Main tour level.
• Head-to-Head Record: Alcaraz leads their matchups with 4 wins out of 6 matches. Can previous match history influence this game? It potentially favors Alcaraz.
• Deciding Set and Tiebreaks: Norrie has a slight advantage in deciding sets between them but trails Alcaraz in overall deciding set wins with 55% against Alcaraz's 74% success rate. In tiebreaks, Norrie has won 2 out of 3 encounters.
• Opponent Quality: Alcaraz has faced higher-ranked opponents on average (rank 60.01) compared to Norrie's average opponent rank of 113.09.
• Recent Form with Break Points: Norrie has been slightly more proficient in recent break point conversions at 31.12% compared to Alcaraz’s 29.97%.

Editorial Prediction (July 8, 2025, UTC):

The statistics present an intriguing match-up. Norrie showcases admirable skills in second serve points and has shown resilience in pressure situations, particularly saving break points. His performance on hard courts further adds to his potential strength.

Nevertheless, Alcaraz commands attention with an impressive winning record over the past year, complemented by his superior event-level success. His knack for handling first-serve returns effectively and facing high-quality opponents provide him with a substantial advantage.

Although Norrie has the capacity to challenge Alcaraz, especially if the match extends to deciding sets, Alcaraz's consistent performance and overall dominance in their head-to-head encounters make him the more likely winner of the upcoming match.